Climate Change: Looking back to the future
Nature Climate Change
2012년12월10일
The temperature increases predicted in the first Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report in 1990 seem to be accurate halfway through the forecast period, reports a paper published in Nature Climate Change this week.
In 1990 the first IPCC assessment report was published, forecasting trends in global mean temperature from 1990 to 2030. David Frame and Daithi Stone now highlight that, at the mid-point, the predictions seem to be upheld, even though a number of important external forcings were not included. They conclude that that the IPCC predictions succeeded because greenhouse-gas-induced warming overwhelmed the other forcings over the 20-year timescale.
The authors suggest that the quality of the first consensus climate prediction can be built on with improved knowledge of the climate system, to extended climate predictions to regional scales.
doi: 10.1038/nclimate1763
리서치 하이라이트
-
8월4일
Environment: Extreme flooding and drought make risk management difficultNature
-
8월3일
Environment: Salt may inhibit lightning in sea stormsNature Communications
-
7월29일
Environment: Costs of amphibian and reptile invasions exceeded US$ 17 billion between 1986 and 2020Scientific Reports
-
7월27일
Ecology: Using fallow land to grow vanilla increases biodiversityNature Communications
-
7월27일
Environment: Plastic pollution encourages bacterial growth in lakesNature Communications
-
7월26일
Palaeontology: Attenborough fossil provides insights into jellyfish familyNature Ecology & Evolution