Research Press Release

Machine learning: Rapid diagnosis of patients with COVID-19 using an AI model

Nature Medicine

May 20, 2020

Artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms applied to chest computed tomography (CT) images and clinical history can quickly and accurately identify patients with COVID-19, according to a paper published in Nature Medicine. This system achieved an AUC (a metric of machine-learning accuracy) of 0.92 and demonstrated sensitivity equal to that of a senior thoracic radiologist.

Rapid and accurate testing for COVID-19 is urgently needed. The current method used—a SARS-CoV-2 virus–specific reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test—can take up to two days to complete, and repeat testing may be required to rule out the possibility of false-negative results. There is also a shortage of available RT-PCR test kits. Chest CT is a valuable tool used in the evaluation of patients with suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, CT imaging alone cannot rule out COVID-19 in certain cases of patients with other types of lung disease. In addition, some patients in the early stages of the disease may have apparently normal CT results.

Yang Yang and colleagues used AI algorithms to integrate chest CT results with clinical symptoms, exposure history and laboratory testing to rapidly diagnose COVID-19-positive patients. The researchers trained and tested the model on a dataset of CT scans and clinical information collected between 17 January 2020 and 3 March 2020 from 905 patients in 18 medical centers in 13 provinces of China. There were 488 male and 417 female patients, who were from 1-91 years of age. A total of 419 patients tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 by RT-PCR assay.

The authors evaluated their AI model on a test set of 279 cases, of the 905 samples, and compared its performance to that of two thoracic radiologists, a senior radiologist and a fellow. Of 145 COVID-19-negative cases in the test set, 113 were correctly classified by both the model and the senior radiologist. The authors also found that the AI system improved the detection of RT-PCR-positive patients with COVID-19 who presented with apparently normal CT scans, correctly identifying 17 of 25 patients as COVID-19 positive, whereas the radiologists classified all of these patients as COVID-19 negative.

doi:10.1038/s41591-020-0931-3

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